The rally in crude oil prices, as measured by West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and North Sea Brent, have generated huge profits and fortunes for the investors who acquired a decent portfolio weighting leading up to the war in Ukraine. It was already a broadly held view that coming out of the pandemic, a synchronous global […]
Last week, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell went before Congress to give his version of the “state of the union’s economy” address, and it was decidedly full of uncertainties but also some necessary admissions to try to help rebuild the Fed’s sorely damaged credibility on understanding inflation in all its forms. Powell stated the obvious about […]
Depending on how one views the snapback rally late last week, it would seem a window of opportunity briefly opened for investors looking to hedge against inflation, rising rates and geopolitical volatility. After the price of wheat spiked above $9/bushel and WTI crude spiked to over $100/bbl on the initial headlines of the Russian invasion […]
The last week of stock market volatility pretty much was the summation of several negative influences converging on the investing landscape all at once. The obstacles include fever-pitch tension between Russia and Ukraine, hot inflation and retail data prompting rising fear of even more aggressive Fed action than has already been priced in, dictatorship-like action […]
The weekend edition of Investor’s Business Daily was chock-full of bullish stories regarding powerful earnings beats from so many great companies, it was hard to balance all this good corporate news with the multiple headwinds facing the economy and the market. The chill of the possibility of a new cold war with Russia, tensions with […]
Friday’s hot nonfarm payrolls report of 467,000 jobs being added raised a lot of eyebrows, considering that White House Head Economic Advisor Brian Deese painted the tape with a public warning that some tough employment data was about to cross it. This is especially true following the preceding ADP report on Tuesday, which showed that […]
There is no way to sugarcoat the current problem rising inflation is having on consumers, corporate earnings and the stock market. This past week, several blue-chip companies that reported fourth-quarter results cited rising costs for margin pressure on profits. Some companies are more effective at passing on those costs, but not if you are running […]
Back in August 2018, Fortune magazine ran a cover story that received a lot of attention at the time. Titled “The End Is Near,” the feature column laid out a base case for the next recession that, while making perfectly good sense, didn’t pan out as predicted, at least not yet. The article claimed in […]
There is no denying the desire among investors to reduce portfolio weightings in technology stocks. The tug-o-war between growth and value has had most tech stocks on the ropes for the better part of a month, with the most recent two weeks putting material downward pressure on the tech torch bearers. They include FAANG stocks […]
Much of the market’s performance is highly tied to the current narrative, be it bullish or bearish or a mixture of both, depending on the headlines that move markets and influence investor sentiment. The first week of 2022 showed just how powerfully rooted the current investor mindset is focused on inflation and rising bond yields. […]
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