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Having just experienced a market that put in its worst first half of the year performance in 50 years, the question of what to own or how much to have invested in equities is taking on a more serious tone than what has been expressed by investors. The market selloff resembles a slow-motion train wreck […]
Last week, the market encountered a sudden shift for the good. The ongoing narrative of higher inflation, fears of recession and Fed rate hikes gave way to a new narrative that embraced lower inflation, less fear of recession and fewer Fed rate hikes. As a result, equities roared higher Thursday and Friday, setting a new […]
What a rough ride for investors this month. The stock market has declined 11 of the past 12 weeks, with the past week being the worst since March 2020. Just to highlight the events that have taken the market to this point, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data of two Fridays ago killed the short-term […]
In the last few weeks, I have shared several ideas about how to profit from the current raging inflation, especially in the energy and agricultural space. Friday’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed how fast prices are still rising in those two areas, with early June delivering even higher prices. Inflation was rising long before Russia’s […]
Although the Federal Reserve likes to focus its inflation algorithms on the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index that strips out food and energy, the headlines consumers see each day fan their outrage over food and energy prices. According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture, food prices are up 10.8% for the 12 months ending April […]
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Investors received some inflation data this week that implied just maybe the month of April was the peak for inflation in the current cycle. As one month does not make for a trend, it gave some much-needed hope and relief for stocks to trade up off by the end the week, the first such move […]
Bearish sentiment has ruled over the stock market, resulting in seven straight weeks of losses. The technical charts are showing severe damage, and the 200-day moving averages for all the major averages are now turning lower. The market as a whole needs some game-changing headlines to reverse the trend — be it peak inflation, the […]
The Russia/Ukraine war can’t be overlooked. It is having a major impact on the global supply of fossil fuels. The sanctions and widening embargo against Russian oil exports is the equivalent of losing Saudi Arabia or the United States in terms of production. The repelling of a major oil supplier like Russia as a source […]
Last week, the bond market voted thumbs down to the Fed’s 50-basis-point rate hike as Treasury yields initially paused, assessed the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) policy statement and summarily traded to the highest levels since the fourth quarter of 2018. From the 20-year chart of the benchmark 10-year T-Note, the radical move up to […]
With bond yields risings and the major stock averages testing and, in some respects, violating the March lows, income investors need to look no further for incredible inflation sensitivity, comfort and tax efficiency than master limited partnerships (MLPs). As a sub-sector of the broader energy sector, these operators of pipelines transferring, terminalling, storing and gathering […]
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