Investing Strategies & Updates
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Recession Resistant REITs Priced at Attractive Valuations
It has long been held that owning homes and apartments has been one of the better inflation-sensitive assets for managing through periods of higher inflation. And due to the supply shortage of affordable shelter brought on by the pandemic, the housing market in many cities with strong migration trends has not seen prices come down […]
Investors Brace for Fed Pause or Push for More Hikes
Last week’s stand by the stock market to close out the month of April breathed a temporary sigh of relief, but that pop in the major average applied primarily to investors who were long in so-called FAANG stocks, “Mr. Softie”, the S&P and Nasdaq, where these equities are heavyweight components. Aside from mega-cap tech, consumer […]
Market Reaches a Hard Fork in the Road
The next two weeks are likely to be where the S&P finally breaks out of its tight trading range of 4,100-4,150. The number of conflicting data points, adjustments in earnings guidance and Fed rhetoric are giving rise to the notion that the market has to break one way or the other. This past week saw […]
Market on Guarded Watch For SVB 2.0
Opinions about how the first quarter earnings season is going to play out are very mixed. There are those that believe the market’s resiliency is about to get a major wake-up call where profits and guidance will sorely disappoint, and there are just as many that believe the companies are going to deliver top- and […]
First-Quarter Earnings Likely to Be the Trough
Nothing resolves market ills and pains more than corporate profits. The old saying of “sales fixes everything” applies to just about every kind of business, but for the stock market, a more fined-tuned saying of “earnings fixes everything” seems fitting, especially after the first-quarter rollercoaster ride of risk incurred by investors. The bulls have made […]
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Fed Priming the Liquidity Pump Again
A number of reasons are being touted for the market’s rebound last week, the primary one being the release of the Personal Consumption Index (PCE) that came in fractionally lower than forecast. Using this index for February, inflation is running at an annual pace of 5.0% versus 5.3% in January. The lower reading shows inflation […]
Lots of Blame to Go Around for Banking Turmoil
Yields on Treasuries have nosedived in a full-scale rebuke of Fed Chair Jerome Powell claiming that rate cuts in 2023 were not a consideration. The quarter-point hike, the ninth in a string of increases, was hardly a cherry on the sundae. Bond traders see it as the straw that could potentially break the economic camel’s […]
A Crisis of Clarity Rippling Through Regional Banks
The past week of volatility exhibited in the banking sector was epic. It was along the lines of a redux of 2008, when some high-profile mortgage lenders and investment banks dealing in risky practices went bankrupt, filed for Chapter 11 or were acquired for pennies on the dollar. To say the recent events in the […]
Banking Crisis Will Likely Trigger a Fed Pivot
The failure of SVB Financial Group (SIVB) is epic in terms of the size of deposits lost to so many fledging companies, the payrolls it won’t be able to meet, the mismanagement of the balance sheet, the job losses it will likely trigger and the damage to investor sentiment that was evident when the 15th-largest […]
Fight Over Federal Budget Looms Large
What a difference a data point makes. Last Friday’s ISM report came in as forecast on a numerical basis, but underneath the hood revealed further stubborn inflationary pressures at work. But the market gave the benefit of the doubt to the notion that, just maybe, inflation might be starting to flatten. There is a raging […]
