Investing Strategies & Updates

Commercial Real Estate Loan Tsunami About to Hit Bank Sector

February 19, 2024

Of the more debatable topics among professional and retail investors, the health of the banking sector is always a front and center discussion. Will the heavy loan exposure to commercial office space that requires broad refinancing over the next two years trigger some sort of systemic calamity to the financial markets? Or will the regional […]

Market Trades at Premium PE as S&P Tops 5,000

February 12, 2024

For the first six weeks of 2024, the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq have added to 2023 gains, with the more concentrated Nasdaq 100 leading all averages up over 9% and the Russell 2000 lagging with a small loss year to date. Coming to the end of the fourth-quarter earnings season, there are generally decent […]

Calling Into Question Friday’s Hot Employment Number

February 5, 2024

The S&P and Nasdaq soared, and bond prices crashed upon last Friday’s release of the January employment data that blew past even the most bullish of estimates. The Labor Department reported the economy added a whopping 353,000 jobs with the three-month average for total nonfarm payrolls increased to 289,000 from 227,000. December nonfarm payrolls were […]

Assessing the ‘All Things AI’ Rally

January 29, 2024

Many professional investors are asking this week what keeps the market in a sustainable uptrend after such a strong move higher the past two months. It is key economic data, bullish forward sales and earnings guidance that comes in at or better than Wall Street is forecasting that supports the case for further gains. Of […]

Fed Might Have to Raise Their Inflation Target

January 22, 2024

It seems by now that even people without a penny in the stock market have heard that the Fed’s target for inflation and interest rates is 2%. And while that objective sounds terrific, in the world we live in, the United States is experiencing upward pricing pressure in a several areas of life that makes […]

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Buckle Up for Bumpy Market Conditions Ahead

January 15, 2024

The market stage is set for what looks to be a very bumpy ride ahead as a series of fluid situations are ramping towards inflection points that could bring about some abrupt fallout and ramifications regarding the year ahead for the U.S. economy and American societal trends. We’re only half the way through January, but […]

Two 2023 Sector Lemons Turning Into 2024 Lemonade

January 8, 2024

There is a mighty sea change underway within the broader income generation space for investors seeking to lock in yield as the bond market anticipates lower interest rates ahead. The yield on the 10-year Treasury Bond fell to 3.77% from 5.00% within a six-week period, only to bounce back to 4.07% following last week’s stronger-than-forecast […]

King Dollar in Trouble of Being Dethroned

January 1, 2024

It is widely understood that the U.S. dollar is the world’s reserve currency, primarily because of its stability and acceptance in international trade. The Bretton Woods Agreement of 1944 formalized the U.S. dollar’s status as the world’s reserve currency, backed by the largest gold reserves. The dollar was officially de-pegged from gold on August 15, […]

Fearless Forecast for 2024

December 25, 2023

The coming year will find it hard to match the big AI-related market rally of 2023. In the closing weeks, the market broadened out to include even the lagging small caps and regional banks thanks to a Fed pivot made known by Fed Chair Jerome Powell at the Dec. 13 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) […]

Regional Banks Might Be a Timely Shorting Opportunity

December 18, 2023

For the past six weeks, the market rally has lifted almost all sectors out of some very bearish downtrends, the financials being one of them. While there is a base case for wanting to own the bank stocks against a more constructive outlook for the economy and interest rates, there are some major hurdles facing […]

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