Investing Strategies & Updates
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Flying Blind Into Earnings Season
Despite the resurgence of the coronavirus, this past week, Wall Street applauded data on home sales, consumer confidence and the labor market even as Florida, Arizona and Texas emerged as the new epicenters of the virus and put phase-three reopening plans at risk. Restaurants, bars and gyms were closed or had their reopening plans dialed […]
Bank Stress Tests Setting off Alarm Bells
The stress tests conducted on the 35 largest banks within the Fed’s sphere of influence resulted in what I would call “wishy-washy” actions, considering the latest resurgence of the pandemic and the potential economic implications it presents. At the forefront of conducting these annual stress tests is the task of determining how bad losses can […]
Risk of Big Tax Changes Rises as November Elections Loom
President Trump is in for the dogfight of his life if he is to retain the White House for a second term. Former Vice President Joe Biden is estimated to have a very strong chance of beating him in November, according to a forecast that was released last week. A model run by The Economist, which […]
Fed Stimulus Ruling Over Market Risks
The headlines that everyone feared crossed the tape during the middle of last week, when a resurgence in the number of COVID-19 cases hit Texas, Arizona, Florida and California. The news offered a motive for some aggressive profit-taking in equity markets after a long rally that took the NASDAQ to a new all-time high and […]
Weak Dollar Signals Stimulus Overkill
The parade of stimulus packages brought forth by the Federal Reserve and Congress may create as much as $10 trillion in debt when all is said and done. And I use the word “done” lightly. The latest bill being campaigned through the Senate on Capitol Hill, named the Monthly Economic Crisis Support Act, was introduced […]
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Beijing Security Law Will Spark Capital Flight From Hong Kong
China is back in the doghouse with the White House, and tensions are only going to rise following Friday’s press conference by President Trump addressing the withdrawal of the United States from the World Health Organization (WHO). After many requests by the United States seeking for the pro-China agenda within the WHO to be reformed, […]
The Big Short In Energy Looks Super Timely
One of the biggest stories of 2020, and one that will go down in history, is the total price collapse of crude oil and the subsequent spike in oil prices that followed. It was on April 20 that WTI crude plunged into negative territory, bottoming out at -$37.63 per barrel. As of last Friday’s close, […]
Rally Begs For Broader Sector Participation
The U.S. stock market has put up a strong performance off the March 23 bottom if one is long the Nasdaq, S&P 500 and the leading mega tech and health care stocks. The draft horses of these sectors are big weightings in the Invesco Nasdaq QQQ Trust (QQQ) and SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) shares. […]
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A V-Shaped Rally Feeds off a U-Shaped Recovery
It is almost impossible for a day to go by within the financial markets without hearing about how wonderfully the V-shaped market rally is reflating portfolio valuations. This is true if one is long in Facebook (NASDAQ:FB), Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) and Google’s parent Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG), as well as Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) — forming the FAANG and MAGA stocks — […]
