Investing Strategies & Updates
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Time Winding Down to the Tariff Deadline
Following a record-breaking Black Friday through Cyber Monday shopping spree by U.S. consumers, it will take a major chain of negative events to undue the strong undercurrent of the year-end bullish sentiment. After all, the consumer has been the driver for the domestic economy in 2019 because interest rates are low, the unemployment rate is […]
China’s Bad Behavior and the Elusive ‘Phase One’ Deal
Investors are bidding the U.S. stock market averages to new all-time highs amid ongoing sentiment that a trade deal with China is imminent. However, the precise time when a pact will be reached is anyone’s guess. The news media keeps reporting that the “final touches” are being worked on and that it’s all but a […]
Investors Betting Heavily On Earnings Rebound in First Half of 2020
It is interesting that all the three major averages are hitting all-time highs following three straight quarters of declining earnings growth for the S&P 500. The latest estimates from FactSet show that the fourth quarter also will produce negative earnings growth for the S&P 500 — forecasts have been slashed to -1.4% from 2.3%. The […]
Steepening Yield Curve is Bullish for Mortgage REITs
In just the past month, the bond market’s yield curve has righted itself in a big way. As the inverted yield curve had compressed margins to nothing for those entities that borrow short and lend or invest long, profit margins evaporated. In the span of two months, the yield curve has steepened, and spreads have […]
Business Development Companies (BDCs) Should Gain Lift in 2020
During the past several weeks, I’ve noted that I want to provide my portfolios with exposure in the part of the financial sector that sports high yields. When I keep reading how difficult the lending environment for mid-size private companies is, it only makes sense to take a hard look at a couple of the […]
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Is the Sudden Shift Into Deep Cyclicals Legit?
The major stock market indexes have entered November with fresh gains, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite setting new record highs following better than expected employment data and better than feared manufacturing data for October. Nonfarm payrolls exceeded expectations, growing by 128,000 last month even during the General Motors (NYSE:GM) strike. Figures for […]
Refiners Hit Their Stride and Pay Champion Yields
Don’t look now, but while investors are all gaga about the momentum in semiconductor, home-building and bank stocks, the energy refiners are stealing the show and outperforming every sector on the board. The crack spread between the price of crude and the price of gasoline, jet fuel, diesel, distillates and lubricants has widened to where […]
Three Market Sectors Point to Further Economic Expansion
There has been an ongoing debate about how long the longest-running bull market in history can extend itself. While much of the developed world outside the United States is enduring economic contraction, and with Europe officially in recession, America continues to be an oasis of steady growth, albeit not without a soft patch in factory […]
China Deal – Hold the Champagne
I can use the phrase “the ink isn’t even dry” to characterize the Chinese government officials backtracking on Friday’s verbal agreement to Phase One of what is no more than a trade truce of sorts. News reports this morning indicate China doesn’t want to sign the initial deal without more talks. Sound familiar? Here we go […]
Select Semiconductor Stocks Offer High Yields and Growth
There is widespread consensus that interest rates and bond yields are going to remain low for a long time, maybe several years, as inflationary pressures are generally absent in most goods and services markets, except for health care and real estate. As the U.S. stock market contends with new circumstances surrounding the impeachment inquiry, White […]
