Dividend Investing Weekly Newsletters
Fed Pivots When Interest Rates Exceed Inflation
There is so much noise and confusion about when the market is going to vault out of its primary bear trend with purpose and begin the next leg of the secular bull market — which is still very much intact. Looking at the 30-year chart of the S&P 500 ETF (SPY), the yellow line represents […]
The $31 Trillion Elephant in the Fed’s Room
So much of the Fed’s narrative surrounding inflation is focused on upward pressure on wages and the cost of professional services. This was, once again, reflected in last Friday’s release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures Index (PCE) — the Fed’s favorite inflation indicator. What is never brought up at the post-Federal Open Market Committee press […]
Too-Hawkish Fed Stoking Recession Fears
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell gave a downbeat outlook for investors at the most recent press conference after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. “We continue to anticipate that ongoing increases will be appropriate in order to attain a stance of monetary policy that is sufficiently restrictive to return inflation to 2 percent over […]
Select Stocks Buck Bear Market and Trade to New Highs
The year 2022 has been a challenge for most stocks. Headwinds created by hawkish Fed policy weigh on investors due to high short-term interest rates, mortgage rates, ongoing issues with Ukraine, COVID lockdowns in China, peak inflation (I hope), mid-term elections, uneven supply chain access and fear of a hard landing in 2023 due to […]
Correction in Energy Provides High-Yield Buying Opportunity
By now, most investors have heard and come to understand how the yield curve for the bond market is inverted — where the two-year Treasury Note yields considerably more than the 10-year Treasury Bond. An inverted yield curve historically marks a very difficult time for the economy in the coming months. Examples include major events […]
Global Tech Companies Leaving China For India
A bold move by China’s President Xi Jinping, the most powerful leader in China in decades, increased his grip on the government and the country when he recently was named to another term as head of the ruling Communist Party, but it broke with tradition. He immediately eliminated layers of the upper echelon of the […]
Market Holds up Against More Hawkish ‘Fedspeak’
Something special happened for the bulls this past week. For the greater part of 2022, any headlines that alluded to the Fed being more aggressive than the current mindset of the market were met with sell first, ask questions later, taking the major averages to fresh lows. From the one-year chart below, there is a […]
The Nasdaq and Cryptocurrencies Finally Part Ways
One of the great divides of the past week was how high-growth equities decoupled from their years-long correlation to Bitcoin, Ethereum and a host of leading cryptocurrencies. At its peak about a year ago, when Bitcoin was trading at $68,000, the cryptocurrency universe was valued at around $3 trillion. It was also around the same […]
Fed’s Terminal Rate Looks to Be 5.0%
The latest catch phrase coming from the broad scope of Fedspeak is the terminal rate, known as the level at which the Fed is expected to stop raising interest rates. With Wednesday’s hike, the fed funds target rate range is now 3.75% to 4%. Stocks rallied sharply late Friday after investors heard some commentary from […]
Bulls Looking for Current Market Pivot to Stick
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