Investing Strategies & Updates
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Too Many Cooks Crowd the Fed’s Kitchen
The much-anticipated speech by Fed Chair Janet Yellen in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, last Friday was initially met with a round of bullish applause as investors put a Goldilocks spin on the narrative of her message: not too hot and not too cold, but right down the middle. It is as if the markets accepted the […]
Fed Hangs out ‘Free Hot Dogs’ Sign at NYSE
This back and forth narrative fashioned by the Fed about the future of short-term interest rates has entered a “silly stage.” The stock market ended the midweek affair on a flat note as investors walked back recently adjusted rate-hike expectations for the year. The change in thinking followed some dovish remarks from St. Louis Federal […]
Retail Data Falls Flat To Send Dollar and Bond Yields Lower
Once again, the Fed’s best intentions to construct a narrative for raising interest rates this year have been thwarted. This time the culprit was the economic calendar. Retail sales for July were expected to rise by 0.4%, keeping a three-month growth streak alive, but instead July showed no change in total retail sales after an upwardly […]
Bulls Grab Hold and Run with Strong Jobs Data
The market loves a good headline and last Friday’s non-farm payroll number of 255,000 versus estimates of 185,000 was all the bulls needed to put an end to the recent eight-day slide for the major averages. What largely went unnoticed was that the so-called U-6 unemployment rate of 9.7% far exceeded the 4.9% officially recognized […]
Second-quarter GDP Doesn’t Measure as Expected
The advance estimate for second-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) was a real eye opener that showed output increasing at an annual rate of just 1.2% versus a Wall Street consensus of 2.6% — on the heels of a downwardly revised 0.8% increase from 1.1% in the first quarter. Final sales, which exclude the change in […]
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The Month of July Marks the Running of the Bulls
The Running of the Bulls, or “encierro” in Spanish, is a practice that involves masses of people running in front of a group of stampeding toro bravo cattle that have been let loose on a sectioned-off subset of a town’s streets. The most famous event of this kind is the eight-day festival of Sanfermines in Pamplona. The Pamplona encierro is the most popular […]
Slew of Data Points Economy Forward
This past week’s slate of economic data that crossed the tape was of a more encouraging tone that kept the market’s bullish sentiment fully intact while triggering some much awaited profit-taking in the bond market. In what has been a relentless stream of fund flows into Treasuries from all corners of the globe, stronger reads […]
Upbeat Jobs Report Puts Firm Bid under High-Yield Sector
The old saying “just what the doctor ordered” came to mind when the prevailing uncertainties surrounding Brexit, the elections, negative interest rates, deflationary pressures and wild currency price swings were confronted last week with a key data point that has come in much better than expected. Friday’s non-farm payroll report showing the economy added 265,000 […]
Finding a Great Value in Options Trading
When markets are collared in a well-defined trading range, one way to manage steady returns is to implement an active covered-call strategy that incorporates stocks that one might not own for the intermediate term if, for reasons like Brexit, the market is hit by sudden and powerful selling pressure. We live in a world of […]
The Impact of Brexit on U.S. Dividends
The European Union (EU) is the only economic block larger than the United States, but it is not as stable, based on yesterday’s vote by the British people to leave the EU. With the eventual pull out of a key contributor to the EU such as the United Kingdom, it evokes thoughts of whether there […]
