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The three-day short covering rally that provided some near-term relief saw most defensive sectors and stocks take a breather, affording some pin action in the popular technology, consumer discretionary, financials and health care companies. But true to form, the rally in oil prices stalled out early Friday morning and so did the global equity rally. […]
This past week saw some not-so-reassuring events unfold within the bond market. For a brief moment, the U.S. 10-year Treasury Note traded with a yield of only 1.57%, a level not seen since late 2012. A confluence of large unknowns enveloped investor sentiment that was punctuated when WTI crude took out the recent lows and […]
Market participants commonly describe the current trend for global interest rates as remaining “lower for longer.” Following the rapid and seemingly coordinated moves to flex fiscal stimulus across the developed world, bold actions by the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the People’s Bank of China showed the power and direction of this […]
A little over a week ago, European Central Bank (ECB) President Mario Draghi made headlines by reiterating his organization’s commitment to reinvigorating the euro zone by whatever means necessary. He said euro-zone rates would “remain at present or lower levels for an extended period” and there would be “no limits” on action to reflate the […]
We need to face the many complexities of a market beset by central government financial engineering, crashing commodity prices, a pending wave of junk bond defaults, slowing growth in China and a recession in Brazil and other emerging markets. We also need to weigh the risks of the visceral politics of a presidential election year […]
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Further downside selling pressure swept global markets lower last week, with the breakdown led by the Shanghai Index slipping below 3,000 and closing down another 3.5% to finish trading at 2,900 on Friday, Jan. 15. The other shoe to drop was WTI crude, falling below $30 per barrel and testing the low $29/bbl. level. There […]
The worst week in history for the stock market has left the portfolios of millions of investors severely wounded and needing triage in the form of a repositioning of asset weighting. As the global market is more of an investing minefield right now than at any time in the past seven years, the safe haven […]
Even though the past week’s economic calendar was light, the few data points released showed that despite a healthier consumer, the economic recovery remains uneven. Pending Home Sales for November were down by 0.9% versus a forecast for a rise of 0.5%. Weekly Jobless Claims for the week ending Dec. 26 were 287,000, above the […]
The year in investing for 2015 will best be remembered by the collapse in the commodities markets and the widespread impact it had on developed world markets, emerging markets and the future of growth in China, as well as the boon to the American consumer, but mostly the demise of the junk bond market and […]
Based on the elevated level of volatility, there is a very high correlation between the direction of the major averages and that of oil prices. Only on a couple trading days of the past month has the market gained when oil prices have fallen. It’s counterintuitive that cheap energy prices would be bad for stock […]