Last week’s ferocious three-day rally, which had the S&P 500 gaining 18% off the Monday low of 2,187, was telling in a number of ways and not in others. What it did not foretell was whether the absolute low has been reached, because there is no telling when the worst of the spread of COVID-19 […]
Amid all the laboratory science in the world that has been marshaled against the coronavirus, and all the money that is being spent to avoid a global economic depression, wouldn’t it be just amazing if the plateauing of the now-famous COVID-19 curve came from the start of spring, warm air and more sunshine? For starters, […]
Yesterday, in what can only be viewed as a preemptive measure to keep the markets from seizing up, the Fed went ahead and slashed the short-term benchmark rate by a full 100 basis points. This dramatic move took the Fed Funds rate to 0.00%-0.25%. In addition to the rate cut, the Fed restarted quantitative easing […]
So much for living through one’s golden years off of a portfolio driven by yields in fixed income assets. Anything with a maturity date that is investment-grade is seeing its yield crash. The flight to safety is historical in that Treasury yields have never fallen to the levels that we witnessed last week. There is […]
Sales of antacids are soaring as investors have buckled up for what will likely be another volatile market defined by wild swings. Market participants are trying to get a rational handle on the impact of the global supply chain and the new case count of the coronavirus (COVID-19) outside China. The investing landscape has been […]
Fifty-five days into the first quarter of 2020, I want to offer a few observations about stocks, bond yields, currencies, gold, debt and politics. I want to assess whether any single factor or combination may pose a risk to the bull trend that has the S&P on a trajectory to trade to 3,500 a lot […]
Every now and then I get a call from one of my longtime broker friends of the past three-plus decades about a stock from “back in the day” that makes a sudden and determined move higher, snapping out of a Rip Van Winkle-like slumber. Every gold bug in the world knows the name Yamana Gold […]
After a period of relative calm following the finalizing of the Phase One trade deal, volatility has re-entered the market. This has sent stock valuations lower and bond prices sharply higher. Yields across the curve are plunging with the 2/10 year spread briefly inverting as of Jan. 31. The two-year T-Note yield is 1.58% and […]
Stocks across the board are being sold off in a mad dash to raise cash and reduce risk amid uncertainty as headlines of the coronavirus spread and the pathogen causes a rising number of deaths. What’s more interesting is that this year’s strain of the domestic flu has already hospitalized more than 180,000 people and […]
It is often said that in the land of blind men, the man with one eye is king. As is in many hyperbolic movements in nascent markets (i.e. Big Bang Dot Com Era, circa 1995 to 2000), the rush to rise to ascendancy is often wrought with the entanglements of strewn body parts and desolate […]
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