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Expectations for a “once-and-for-all” announcement about the Fed’s timetable for its plan to taper quantitative easing (QE) are very high, going into this week’s symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. This is an annual gathering of central bankers, economists and policymakers. The lead up to Fed Chairman Powell’s 10:00 a.m. EDT speech this Friday has been […]
The current investing landscape has been full of surprises and sudden changes that have kept investors and fund managers guessing as to how best to be positioned, even for just the month ahead. Only two weeks ago, the 10-year Treasury was knocking on the door of the 1.0% interest rate threshold before a blowout jobs […]
Investors around the globe that depend on yield for pension distributions and general living expenses are finding it more difficult than ever to identify assets with dependable, low-beta features that pay decent dividends. With the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data showing annual inflation running at 5.4%, one needs to make 15% just to net […]
Last week’s price action for the stock market smacked of a rally that had run out of good news to justify rising share prices. All the heavy-hitting stocks that pack the top quartile of the S&P 500 had posted great numbers, except the house that Bezos built: Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN). The Fed beat the drum […]
I’m not sure about the last time such a divide over the direction of interest rates and bond yields existed, but the present situation is one for the monetary history books. In what was looking like a scenario where lower commodity prices were taking hold, about the only commodity that has really retreated heavily from […]
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We’re all familiar with the phrase “the money has to go somewhere,” and this past week, safer havens in bonds and equity sectors were on the receiving end of fast changing fund flows. Treasuries, corporate bonds, preferred stocks, real estate investment trusts (REITs), utilities and consumer staples shined, while the most leveraged reflation sectors were […]
The perpetual debate of whether investors should weight their portfolios toward growth or value stocks rages on every day the market is open. Both the bond and stock markets hang on every economic data point to bolster the case for both views, with algo-models fueling fierce sector rotation like neon fish in an aquarium darting […]
One thing about this market is that it can’t seem to make up its mind about whether inflation is going to take off or has already peaked. If you listen to the Fed, the second quarter will mark the highest rate for inflation. Then, it will cool in the months ahead. If you listen to […]
Coming into the month of June, the noise level about runaway commodity prices was at a pretty high decibel reading. Just about every hard and soft class of commodities was trading firmly higher due to the global reopening of several major economies, compounded by wide-ranging logistical bottlenecks and outright shortages. This set of conditions lit […]
Most investors are keenly aware that the market hates uncertainty, and they understand why the indices buckle when there is a lack of information to provide clarity. Last week’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting provided what most thought was a great dose of certainty via the Fed’s policy statement that, at first, gave the […]
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